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这个称号。\n知乎用户 申鹏​ 发表 说几句 “无耻” 的真心话吧：\n10 年前，我就是干这些的，天天和混凝土、钢筋、机械、农民工兄弟、黑社会、基层贪官污吏打交道…… 炸山、开路、修楼、造奇观…… 几亿十几亿的项目也混过，也亲眼看到宏伟的东西在我眼前拔地而起…… 也亲手应用过让你们咋舌的黑科技……\n我们见过用火箭炮发射钢索造桥，我们见过自动化整体爬升模板，我们见过混凝土灌在钢桶里的超级大柱子，见过能够装上轨道滑行对接的大型场馆…… 地球上就没有中国基建狂魔做不到的事情。\n但那个时候，我一点都不觉得光荣，也不觉得伟大，更不觉得牛逼。因为我就拿那点钱，一年到头没有假期，你们码农说的什么 996？算个屁，我是从早上 6 点，到晚上 6 点，一年 365 天，一天 12 小时，除了过年没有假期，还要保证半夜手机不关机，有什么突发情况都得随叫随到…… 我有个同事，结婚的日子，项目上只给他批了三天假。\n当然，我们甲方的同志更辛苦，某鼎鼎大名的大国企，手机都要买防水的，不防水的要用塑料袋拴在脖子上，上澡堂子洗澡都得拴着，一次不接电话，罚款 4000…… 那是个野蛮的时代。\n整天的生活，就是工地、食堂、宿舍、仪器、图纸、电脑、各种住建部门、各种检测单位、黑社会工头…… 枯燥到要发疯。经常一个人在夕阳西下的时候，看着一片片荒凉无人的混凝土柱子、脚手架发呆，思考着自己一生是不是要永远干这个。\n后来，我不干了，很久之前就不干了。\n现在，我偶尔路过工地，看到工地上搞测量、预算、质检的，都没有年轻人，项目经理、技术负责人都是两鬓斑白的中年大叔，道路上、脚手架上的农民工…… 都是佝偻着背的老年人…… 一个小伙子都没有，我又感慨，这个事业终究是要有人做啊。" }, "httpBodyByteSize": 263998, "httpBodyPageTitle": "为什么中国能自称「基建狂魔」，但是从事基建的人对此并不怎么认可？" }, 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"https://project-gutenberg.github.io/Pincong/post/8fca57eb98a6fc940192cd01b1bf5a9d/?utm_source=see_also\u0026utm_medium=%25E6%25AD%25A6%25E6%25B1%2589%25E5%258D%2581%25E5%25A4%25A9%25E5%25A4%25A7%25E4%25BC%259A%25E6%2588%2598%25E6%258A%25A2%25E6%2597%25B6%25E9%2597%25B4%25E9%2583%25A8%25E5%2588%2586%25E5%259C%25B0%25E5%258C%25BA5-10%25E4%25BA%25BA%25E6%25A0%25B7%25E6%259C%25AC%25E6%25B7%25B7%25E5%2590%2588%25E6%25A3%2580%25E6%25B5%258B%25E8%25BF%259B%25E5%25B1%2595%25E9%25A1%25BA%25E5%2588%25A9" ], "httpBodyMetaTags": { "description": "为了提升核酸检测效率，武汉部分区域采用混样检测的方式，可节省时间和成本，不足之处亦有弥补方式\n5月19日，武汉一社区检测现场，一名护士正在为居民采样。供图/采访对象\n文| 《财经》记者 信娜 辛颖 实习记者 朱贺\n编辑| 王小\n“几乎每天都有两三个护士中暑”，2020年5月19日，武汉一家三甲医院的负责人说。\n在武汉动辄30摄氏度的天气下，医护人员在户外套着全套的防护装备，没晒多久防护服里都是汗水，滋味儿不好受。“防护服一穿就是一身汗，只有中午吃饭的时候才能换下来”，上述武汉三甲医院负责人告诉《财经》记者。\n这家三甲医院每日有将近200名护士前往指定点位为居民采样。从早上7点多开始，一直到日落。回到医院后，还要将样本信息录入到系统中，“每天都得忙活儿到半夜”，她说。\n这是武汉全民核酸检测的一景。在这场“十天大会战”中，武汉几乎动员了所有的医护力量：医院、疾控中心、街道社区等。\n《财经》记者了解到，为了提升核酸检测效率，武汉部分区域采用混样检测的方式。也就是说，将几个核酸样本“打包”成一个样本，分堆检测。\n武汉某第三方检测机构相关负责人告诉《财经》记者，“给我们的要求是混样数量可在5人—10人份。我们现在一般会混合5人份样本打包检测，先运行一下。各方面流程磨合好了以后，会适当增加混合的样本量。”\n如今，这场“会战”进程过半，武汉全民核酸检测进展进展顺利。\n混样检测结果能否准确？\n5月11日，武汉市下发通知，自5月12日中午12时前各区提交检测方案，将在武汉全市范围内开展全员新冠病毒核酸筛查。这场“史无前例”的行动被官方冠以“十天大会战”。\n鸣枪之后第五天，19日上述第三方检测机构负责人对《财经》记者说：“我们现在24小时连轴转，人可以休息，机器不行。”\n武汉市老旧小区、人口密集小区等优先排查地区的核酸检测，还在进行中。武汉江汉区某街道负责人告诉《财经》记者，这两天还在加班加点。\n《财经》记者了解到，为了提升核酸检测效率，武汉部分区域甚至采用混样检测的方式。\n上述第三方检测公司负责人所在的检测机构收到的通知是，混样数量可在五人—10人份。由于各项流程仍在磨合中，现在，一般采取混合五人样本进行检测的方式。\n医护人员在小区内为社区居民采样后，会将核酸样本送至有检测能力的医院或第三方检测公司。“我了解到的是，医院一般还是会单人单检，第三方检测机构大多采取混样检测的方式”，上述武汉三甲医院负责人介绍。\n混样检测结果准确度也可能和采用的方式有关。国家卫生健康委临床检验中心副主任李金明向《财经》记者介绍，混样有两种方式，一种是五个鼻或口咽拭子采样后放在一个采样容器中，那么单个标本的病毒浓度不受影响，另一种方式是五个鼻或口咽拭子放在各自的标本采样容器中，再从各自采样容器取一定的均等体积保存液进行混合，这样的话，病毒浓度就会被稀释。要保证检测的灵敏度不受影响。“我建议的是采用前一种方式”。\n混样检测可节省时间和成本。“一种核酸检测设备运转一次的时间是固定的，混样检测可以同时检测多样本，是一种高通量的检测方式，可大大提高检测效率。”立博美华医学检验实验室创始人王晨光博士告诉《财经》记者。\n对于大家关注的“混样检测”准确性问题，王晨光解释，这种技术已经比较成熟，在临床检验的多领域也有应用。从技术上来讲，不会影响准确率，也不会因此导致更多的假阴性或者假阳性结果。 不过，李金明分析，将五个拭子放入一个采样容器的混合采样有一点不足的是，无法通过试剂盒中内源性“内参”，对每个标本的采样质量进行评估。根据现有的检测试剂，对单独标本检测时，有内源性“内参”的试剂可以发现某个标本采样不合格的问题，但是混样检测就不能发现了。这一问题可以通过提高对采样人员严格培训来尽可能避免。\n《财经》记者了解到，目前，武汉全民核酸筛查中，上述两种混样检测方式均存在。\n武汉某三甲医院的一位医生说，“如果按机器检测样本的时间来算，最快是四个小时。但是现在样本量太大了，所以拿来的样本要排队等待机器检测。”\n这些混合样本的检测结果中，如果有显示阳性，则会再将混合样本中的每一个样本单独检测一遍，排查出阳性结果来源。“在混合前，每一个样本我们都会单独留底一段时间”，上述第三方检测公司负责人介绍，或者，还可以再对这些人，进行一次个人单独采样、检测。\n这种将多个样本混合在一起后得到的样本也被称为“超级样本”，在实践中，并不算新鲜。\n例如，哈尔滨血液中心发表的《核酸血筛试剂6混样和48混样检测在血液筛查中的适用性评价》中介绍，目前，国内血站在时间要求较紧的机采成分血检测中采用单检方式，日常无偿献血标本大多采用6混样检测方式。这一研究发表在2019年10月《检验医学与临床》上。\n一位中国疾控系统研究人员向《财经》记者介绍，在以往需要对大量实验样本进行筛查时，也采用过混样检测，那么通过在操作过程中减少缓冲液，对核酸进行浓缩，对最终的准确性影响很小。而且十个人混样，前期的采样成本不能节省，成本不能缩小十倍，也可以缩小七倍，从经济角度也值得推荐。\n《财经》记者了解到，此次武汉全民检测规模大，武汉几乎所有有检测能力的医院及第三方检测机构均参与其中。\n武汉卫健委发布的数据显示，5月12日当日，全市核酸检测超过四万人次，到5月17日，增至33万多人次，在六天时间内增长近七倍。而在2月底，武汉日均采样量仅为1.4万份。\n上述武汉三甲医院负责人告诉《财经》记者，这几天，医院的几百名护士分别在十几个点采样。有的时候，每天的样本量几乎达到一万份。\n目前，该医院未采取混样检测，仍是单人单检。采集的样本会拿到医院实验室检测，为了完成更多的样本检测，只要有设备和条件，医院检验部门所有的人都在做核酸检测。上述武汉三甲医院负责人说，“医学实验中心、司法鉴定部门、病理科等，全都调动起来了。”\n不过，当《财经》记者询问是否会进行混样检测时，武汉某社区卫生中心负责人的答复是，“没这个事，哪有这个事”。\n他解释，武汉卫生部门有规定，如果检测机构想要做这样的混合样本检测，需要提交技术、支持等方案进行报备申请，专家通过研究才能实行，“不是随便哪个机构想怎么检测，就怎么检测”。\n“对于需要大规模筛查的情况，因为无症状人群中病毒核酸阳性的可能性极低，混样检测可以提高检测效率，减少超大的工作量带来的实验室和人员压力，但是其他地区是否还有必要进行大规模一般人群的筛查，需要论证。”李金明说。\n核酸大排查结果，不提供个人查询\n武汉某小区核酸检测已进入到“查缺补漏”阶段。\n“还没有进行核酸检测的居民，请于明天5月19日，携带身份证等有效证件，有序进行补漏检测”，5月18日晚约11点30分，武汉某社区网格员在小区微信群内如是通知。\n对于三天前已检测完的居民来说，他们想知道自己的核酸检测结果如何。上述武汉医生说，“我们没有权利发布结果，需要先将检测结果上传到市里。”\n5月19日，“健康武汉”APP发布的最新公告显示，健康武汉服务器已恢复。这份公告对如何查询核酸检测结果做出说明，检测机构一般在72小时左右上传核酸结果。\n不过，该份公告提到，本次核酸大排查的查询结果将不提供个人查询。\n据武汉卫健委发布的《武汉市集中核酸检测十问十答》（下称“十问十答”）显示：如检测结果为阳性，相关部门将会第一时间联系该居民，根据诊疗和防控要求进行规范处置。如果居民朋友没有接到相关通知，则检测结果为阴性。\n“加快筛查无症状感染者，最大限度地摸清无症状感染者底数，实行全流程严格闭环管理，全力阻断可能的传染源”，《十问十答》这样解释武汉全民核酸检测的原因。" 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"https://project-gutenberg.github.io/Pincong/post/index.xml", "https://project-gutenberg.github.io/Pincong//images/logo.png" ], "httpBodyMetaTags": { "description": "品葱用户 中国社会民主党 提问于 9/9/2020 众所周知，中印开战在即了。作为海外较活跃中文政治论坛，我觉得品葱和在品葱的大家有责任肩负起发表一定预判分析的活动。\n具体预测内容大致包含但不限于如下几点？\n1会否变成大规模热战？\n2若不会，双方最后怎样收场？\n3若会，何方先发起进攻？\n4若会，战争规模大概会多大？\n5若会，战争具体会呈现怎样的走势？如开始、高峰和结尾大致分别呈现怎样的态势？及出现各种走势的原因？\n5若会，双方最后怎样收场？是像中越战争那样见好就收，还是像朝鲜战争那样双方一段时间僵持后同时接受停战？\n6若会，则双方具体整体的战力、单兵战力、军官指挥水平、海陆空三军装备水平对比如何？\n望各位手足、葱友集思广益\n鄙人不才，先抛砖引玉讲一点。如果开战，对于能够承受的牺牲人数这个问题，我敢说中国一定若于印度。\n原因何在？因为现在邪共军队里的士兵和低级军官，是人类历史上唯一一代独生子女政策下的人口。从这个政策执行之日起，就有人已经意识到这个政策对国家最大的影响之一，就是万一发生战争，这个国家会完全承受不起大量士兵牺牲这个问题。\n古往今来任何战争中，牺牲一个士兵，都只意味着一个家庭失去几个孩子中的一个孩子（美国因此要拯救大兵瑞恩）。人类历史上，只有当今邪共这支军队里的士兵，死一个就意味着他的家庭失去所有孩子（每一个士兵都是大兵瑞恩）。大家可以想象一下，这种军队扛得住多少牺牲。\n品葱用户 NZRdlClr5 评论于 2020-09-08 我不知道為什麼有的人會把『士兵是獨生子女』看得這麼重要\n就算是古代，也有花木蘭家裡這種『只有一個小弟』的家庭啊，以花家而言，能成為兵力的只有花爸和花弟，儘管劇情中爸太老而弟太小，但本質上就和一個老來得獨生子的獨生子女家庭其實沒什麼區別，因為本來花家女兒不應該去當兵的\n再說，一個家庭裡的所有孩子上戰場，死了，so what？\n本來戰爭時代，不上戰場的孩子一樣可能死，一個家庭一樣可能會失去全部的孩子。尤其是在現在有轟炸之類可以直接攻擊平民聚集地的手段的時代\n再說，就算一個家庭所有的孩子都死了，對戰局能有多少影響嗎？你是指望這些失去孩子的父母起來反抗嗎？還是指望國家因為戰爭打到沒人了？前者不用擔心，歷史上幾乎沒有這種先例。後者也不用擔心，就算不是獨生子女世代也一樣可能打到沒人的\n所以是不是獨生子女沒差啦\n比起獨生子女與否，現代科技對戰爭的影響應該更大\n核武器、導彈、新型戰車、飛機、軍艦……\n早在幾十年前戰爭就不再是打人而是打軍備的了\n個人覺得不會有全面戰爭+1\n現代一般能冷戰的就冷戰，就算要熱戰也會想要避免全面戰爭，就算雙方真的想要幹架了總歸有和事佬會介入的\n再說以中國的角度而言（因為難以想像印度主動發起戰爭）一樣要打戰爭的話，美國或台灣或日本都比印度好太多了，有更好的動機\n尤其是台灣，因為『似乎打得贏的感覺』，加上『武統』動機\n對印度挑起戰爭沒有那麼充分的動機，如果真的有心那應該會用宣傳機開始造動機，但目前沒有如此跡象說明對印度全面戰爭暫時不在中國方面的日程表上\n要是真打了，用膝蓋想也知道積怨不少的英聯邦各國會趁機藉著挺他們的好朋友印度的名義去狠狠地發洩一頓~順便帶著戰機去飛一圈打廣告~，美國如果有機會可能也會湊熱鬧來發洩一頓~順便帶著戰機打廣告~。就和第一次世界大戰一樣，一大票盟軍一起群毆戰爭的發起者，因為中國估計叫不到一個靠譜的盟友\n品葱用户 飞天大圣释永信 评论于 2020-09-08 包子皇帝可能真的就不在乎你是不是独生子女。前面几次冲突，中方保守估计，多半死的比印度多，印度风风光光国葬，中国尸体拖回去大概就和家人交代意外死亡。给土匪卖命就这个结局，最后一无所有\n品葱用户 fakeuse1989 评论于 2020-09-08 个人认为不会真打起全面战争，原因很简单，这是俩有核国家\n但是上面是一万的情况，其他一万的原因相信还能说出很多，但是，毕竟庆丰大帝嘛，恩，有他你不能排除万一，而俩有核国家打起全面战争是啥样子？反正本人想象不出来，毕竟人类还没打过这种仗呢\n品葱用户 nastygun 评论于 2020-09-08 先说结论：不会大战。" }, "httpBodyByteSize": 32739, "httpBodyPageTitle": 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"https://project-gutenberg.github.io/Pincong/tags/%e7%a7%8d%e6%a4%8d" ], "httpBodyMetaTags": { "description": "ISAAA报告称，反对转基因导致道德灾难\n作者：孙滔　来源：基因农业网\n2017年，24个国家种植了1.898亿公顷转基因作物，比2016年的1.851亿公顷增加了470万公顷(1160万英亩)。这是转基因作物商业化22年之后的最新数据。\n还有一个数据，从1996年的170万公顷增加到2017年的1.898亿公顷，增长了112倍，累计已经达到23亿公顷。\n今天，国际农业生物技术应用服务组织（ISAAA）发布了《2017 年全球生物技术／转基因作物商业化发展态势》。这已是该组织第22次发布《全球生物技术／转基因作物商业化发展态势》年度报告（点击文末“阅读原文”）。\n种植或进口的国家/地区有67个\n报告称，2017年，24个国家/地区种植了1.898亿公顷转基因作物。另外43个国家/地区（17个国家/地区和欧盟26国）进口转基因作物用于粮食、饲料和加工。\n除了四大作物（玉米、大豆、棉花和油菜），苜蓿、甜菜、木瓜、南瓜、茄子、马铃薯和苹果的转基因作物均已上市。\n具有防挫伤、防褐变、丙烯酰胺含量低、抗晚疫病等性状的先后两代Innate?马铃薯，以及防褐变的Arctic?苹果已经开始在美国和加拿大种植。孟加拉国的Bt茄子种植了2400公顷。哥斯达黎加的转基因粉色菠萝增加到25公顷。还有穗粒生物量增加并且直链淀粉含量高的玉米，以及油含量改良的大豆。巴西批准了一种抗虫甘蔗于2018年进行商业化。\n转基因大豆种的最多\n转基因大豆的种植面积最大，为9, 410万公顷，占全球转基因作物总种植面积的一半，其次是玉米（5,970万公顷）、棉花（2，421万公顷）和油菜（1,020万公顷）。从全球单个作物的种植面积来看，2017年 转基因大豆的应用率为77%，转基因棉花的应用率为80%，转基因玉米的应用率为32%，转基因油菜的应用率为30%。\n五大转基因作物种植国（美国、巴西、阿根廷、加拿大和印度）占全球转基因作物种植面积的91.3%。其中，美国是全球转基因作物种植的领先者，2017年美国转基因作物的种植面积达到7,500万公顷，其次为巴西（5,020万公顷）、阿根廷（2,360万公顷）、加拿大（1,310万公顷）和印度（1,140万公顷），总种植面积为1.733亿公顷，占全球种植面积的91.3%，这5个国家的19.5亿人口覆盖了全球76亿人口的26%。\n2017年，美国种植了3,405万公顷大豆、3,384万公顷玉米、458万公顷棉花、122万公顷苜蓿、87.6万公顷油菜、45.8万公顷甜菜、3,000公顷马铃薯，以及转基因苹果、南瓜和木瓜各1,000公顷。\n巴西种植了3,370万公顷大豆、1,560万公顷玉米（冬玉米和夏玉米），以及15万公顷棉花。\n阿根廷种植了转基因大豆1,810万公顷、转基因棉花25万公顷、转基因玉米520万公顷。值得注意的是，这三种转基因作物的平均应用率接近100%，表明该国经济发展对技术的依赖。\n加拿大的转基因作物包括250万公顷大豆、178万公顷玉米、883万公顷油菜、15,000公顷甜菜、3,000公顷苜蓿和40公顷马铃薯。需要指出的是，转基因/遗传工程鲑鱼在2017年8月已经与加拿大消费者见面，而转基因苹果也将在不久的将来上市。\n印度转基因棉花种植了1,140万公顷。报告强调说，应该限制非法种植未经批准的抗虫-耐除草剂棉花品种，并对感染棉铃虫的农田进行正确的管理。因为要保持现有抗虫棉花杂交品种当前的产量水平就需要实施严格的人员管理和抗性管理策略。而在2010年暂停的抗虫茄子仍未有进展。\n中国种植了278万公顷转基因棉花\n2017年，亚太地区种植转基因作物面积最大的国家是印度（1,140万公顷棉花）、其次是巴基斯坦（300万公顷棉花）、中国（278万公顷棉花）、澳大利亚（92.4万公顷棉花和油菜）、菲律宾（64.2万公顷玉米）、缅甸（32万公顷棉花）、越南（4.5万公顷玉米）和孟加拉国（2,400公顷茄子）。\n非洲和欧洲\n目前非洲有13个国家的12种转基因作物以及14个性状正处于种植、实验和研究的不同阶段。南非和苏丹共种了植290万公顷转基因作物，比2016年增加了4%。\n在欧洲，4个欧盟国家种植了超过13.1万公顷的转基因玉米。西班牙和葡萄牙种植的是抗虫玉米转化体MON810，这也是欧盟唯一批准的转基因转化体，其中西班牙种植面积为124,227公顷，葡萄牙为7,308公顷。\n不过，鉴于饲料加工厂要求使用非转基因玉米，捷克共和国和斯洛伐克不再进行转基因玉米的种植。因此报告认为，未来欧盟国家应用转基因作物的前途暗淡。\n转基因作物的贡献\n过去21年（1996年-2016年）转基因作物为全球1,600万～1,700万农民带来了6.576亿吨作物产量增加以及1,861亿美元的经济收益，其中95%的农民来自发展中国家。仅2016年一年就增产8,220万吨，产值达到182亿美元。\n此外，1996年～2016 年共节约1.83亿公顷土地，保护了生物多样性；仅2016年就节约了2,250万公顷土地。\n根据Cropnosis机构的估计，2017年全球转基因作物的市场价值为172亿美元，占2016年全球作物保护市场709亿美元市值的23.9%，占全球商业种子市场560.2亿美元的30%。\n道德灾难\n报告引述信息技术与创新基金会（ITIF）研究称，反对转基因的言行为那些最贫穷的国家的发展设置了足够的障碍，这是一种道德灾难。\n鉴于各个国家/地区苛刻的法规的影响，包括黄金大米、Bt茄子、菜豆金色花叶病毒抗性豆和非洲的耐旱-抗虫复合性状玉米在内的收益得不到实现。\n比如，印度延迟批准黄金大米造成每年1.99亿美元的感知成本。大约140万名印度农民因为抗虫（Bt）茄子商业化的长期僵局而错失每年超过5亿美元的经济收益，而孟加拉已经种植了3年的抗虫茄子，因此减少了70%-90%的农药用量、获得了每公顷1,868美元的经济收益。\n始于2008年的非洲节水玉米项目专注于在非洲撒哈拉沙漠以南地区的南非、肯尼亚、乌干达、坦桑尼亚和莫桑比克开发耐旱-抗虫(Bt)的复合性状玉米，而玉米的干旱和虫害是该地区最为棘手的农业问题。\n报告批评了反转人士，非洲的人们生活困顿，那些掌握话语权的批评家们无权因为理想主义和盲信就阻止这种技术。\n(XYS20180627)" }, "httpBodyByteSize": 31079, "httpBodyPageTitle": "ISAAA报告称，反对转基因导致道德灾难" }, "/Pincong/tags/%E5%86%AF%E5%94%90/": { "date": "2026-02-13T05:08:18Z", "httpProtocol": "h2, tls/1.3", "httpStatus": 200, "ipAddress": "185.199.109.153", "ipASN": "Fastly, Inc.", "ipCountry": "United States", "httpHeaderHash": "G5JBTSUO46XNON6WCD7JQH5YCSYXGJRF", "httpHeaderTechnologies": [ "HSTS", "Fastly", "Varnish", "GitHub Pages" ], 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